Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 3.232007 3.860668 4.562470 5.401562 6.374951 7.465924 8.778514
2025-10-26 2.299957 3.092798 4.071058 5.356915 6.991389 8.987441 11.595786
2025-11-02 1.672247 2.489654 3.587529 5.148591 7.285747 10.080008 13.974756
2025-11-09 1.263334 2.058540 3.208995 4.959198 7.510296 11.040298 16.227378
2025-11-16 1.024562 1.808028 3.017519 4.967617 7.964993 12.313501 18.987818
2025-11-23 0.847268 1.609484 2.858162 4.979779 8.398493 13.569011 21.811677
2025-11-30 0.699568 1.425931 2.684710 4.930903 8.711723 14.651483 24.451150
2025-12-07 0.554620 1.214444 2.424528 4.691649 8.674840 15.168321 26.242226
2025-12-14 0.466483 1.090414 2.294716 4.651308 8.951412 16.192018 28.900041
2025-12-21 0.397301 0.988970 2.188101 4.632876 9.254458 17.273097 31.723605
2025-12-28 0.369201 0.968955 2.234975 4.905175 10.101261 19.339072 36.346145
2026-01-04 0.331626 0.919449 2.213395 5.038607 10.699956 21.014604 40.414267
2026-01-11 0.303315 0.887420 2.226646 5.249895 11.480348 23.099160 45.397286
2026-01-18 0.263072 0.816808 2.144382 5.251886 11.852408 24.471833 49.216436
2026-01-25 0.216968 0.719223 1.983494 5.060962 11.812712 25.067911 51.656800
2026-02-01 0.179231 0.634389 1.836852 4.878595 11.765593 25.637117 54.076947
2026-02-08 0.156909 0.588463 1.777788 4.888189 12.123933 27.020079 58.132611
2026-02-15 0.137809 0.547263 1.723419 4.900583 12.487269 28.436918 62.345198
2026-02-22 0.119038 0.501728 1.649010 4.852524 12.707785 29.575462 66.079555
2026-03-01 0.096817 0.437223 1.509048 4.616696 12.468397 29.733446 67.847069
2026-03-08 0.083920 0.402276 1.447646 4.576939 12.685011 30.871381 71.688373
2026-03-15 0.073359 0.372817 1.397038 4.558773 12.950667 32.132625 75.863939
2026-03-22 0.070838 0.375283 1.446948 4.827215 13.951044 35.081188 83.778718